Match Preview: Swindon Town vs Stevenage

Form Guide… 

6th placed Swindon thrashed Crewe Alexandra 4-1 at the County Ground in midweek to end a winless win of five games.

Town are 19th in the League One form table with one win, two draws and three defeats.

At the County Ground, Town are unbeaten in four games, of which three were draws, putting Swindon 15th in the form guide with one win, four draws and one defeat.

Stevenage are 17th on 54 points and safe from relegation. The Hertfordshire side have won once, drawn twice and lost three of their previous six games to go 20th in the League One form guide.

On their travels, Stevenage drew 0-0 at Portsmouth in their previous away trip and without a win in their last nine away games. Stevenage are 23rd in the away form guide with two draws and four defeats. Head-to-Head…

In all League, FA Cup and Football League competitions, Town have faced Stevenage on 3 occasions, winning 2, drawing 0 and defeated 1 time; scoring 7 and conceding 2.

At the County Ground, Swindon have a record of 1 win and 1 defeat, scoring 3 and conceding 1.

Stevenage haven’t scored against Swindon in our two previous meetings.

Town hit Stevenage for four goals in the reverse fixture earlier this season.

The Stats…

Defence Attack
  STFC (Hosts) r Steve (Away) r   STFC (Hosts) r Steve (Away) r
Shots Against Per Game 5.8 1 13.3 21 Shots For Per Game 11.6 12 8.2 22
% Shots Against on Target 37.1% 1 49.7% 11 % Shots For on Target 46.1% 20 44.8% 20
% Save Rate 68.1% 21 81.4% 2 % Strike Rate 16.1% 1 11.6% 11
Corners Against Per Game 3.3 2 5.9 10 Corners Won Per Game 7.5 2 3.4 23
Possession Conceded 47.6% 8 53.1% 19 Possession Won 52.4% 8 46.9% 19
R = rank: The ranking shown for each measure indicates the efficiency of the sides against the rest of the division as either hosts or the away side | 1 equals the best and 24 is the worst |

Stevenage have really suffered away because of the amount of possession conceded which have averaged 53.1% per game, ranked 19th.

Not only have their opponents utilised this time on the ball to heap pressure on the Stevenage defence with an average of 13.3 shots against per game, Boro’ have also failed to control the game and have little to show for their 46.9% possession with just 8.2 shots for per game and 3.4 corners won per game.

Stevenage are really reliant on their ‘keeper ensuring only 27 away goals have been conceded which is the 9th lowest in the division.

SCORED 1-15 16-30 31-45 45+ 46-60 61-75 76-90 90+
STFC (as hosts) 7  9 5 0 4 9 6 1
Stevenage (away) 2  8 3 0 4 2 1 1

Swindon typically start strong as hosts having opened the scoring in nine of their previous twelve games at the County Ground. Opening the scoring has been crucial to Town’s success with Swindon losing their previous two games as host when conceding first – versus Brentford and Bury.

Stevenage haven’t scored in the second half of an away game in their previous 9 games.

CONCEDED 1-15 16-30 31-45 45+ 46-60 61-75 76-90 90+
STFC (as hosts) 2 1 3 0 4 4 1 0
Crewe (away) 6 3 4 0 3 4 7 0

Swindon continue to concede in the second half as of late, a pattern which repeated against Crewe in midweek.

Conceding early and late in games seems to be the pattern for Stevenage.

My prediction… 

I predicted a goalless draw against Crewe in midweek so, again, this probably will be wrong 2-0 win for Swindon…

Come on You Reds!

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