Match Preview: Leyton Orient vs Swindon Town

Form Guide… 

4th placed Swindon are undefeated in seven matches in a run that has included 5 wins, 2 draws, 20 goals and 2 conceded.

Away from the County Ground, Town drew 1-1 at AFC Bournemouth last time out and have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in six League One games; putting Swindon 5th in the away form guide.

15th placed Leyton Orient have won two, drawn two and lost two of their previous six League One games. Their last match was a 2-1 victory over Notts County at Brisbane Road on Saturday. As hosts, Orient are unbeaten in three games and haven’t failed to score in six. Head-to-Head…

In all League, FA Cup and Football League competitions, Town have faced Leyton Orient on 78 occasions, winning 26, drawing 24 and suffering 28 defeats, scoring 105 goals and conceding 96.

At Brisbane Road, Town have 7 wins, 11 draws and 18 defeats, with 31 scored and 53 conceded.

Swindon haven’t beaten Orient in the previous five meetings.

We’ve failed to score in the two previous games with Leyton Orient.

Swindon have only won once at Brisbane Road in nine visits – a 2-1 win in League One December 2008.

We were defeated 3-0 in our previous visit, a result which confirmed our relegation to League Two in 2010/11.

The Stats…

Defence Attack
  Orient (Hosts) r STFC (Away) r   Orient (Hosts) r  STFC  (Away) r
Shots Against Per Game 11 20 7.6 1 Shots For Per Game 11.5 11 11.4 3
% Shots Against on Target 60.4% 23 51.7% 19 % Shots For on Target 51.5% 6 57.7% 3
% Save Rate 83.9% 1 76.6% 12 % Strike Rate 9.9% 19 12.4% 13
Corners Against Per Game 4.2 6 4.9 6 Corners Won Per Game 5.6 17 6.9 1
Possession Conceded 51.1% 21 46.4% 2 Possession Won 48.9% 21 53.6% 2
R = rank: The ranking shown for each measure indicates the efficiency of the sides against the rest of the division as either hosts or the away side | 1 equals the best and 24 is the worst |

Fortunately for Orient, they’ve the save rate to deal with their opponent’s very high tally of shots per game and on target.

Expect Swindon to have more shots than Orient and Town to restrict the ‘O’s’ to less than their typical 11.5 shots per game at Brisbane Road.

Swindon will look to control possession against their hosts and judging by Orient’s form they are likely to concede play, which ultimately costs them opportunities in and around the box.

Swindon’s potential weakness is the relatively high percentage of chances the opposition get to test Wes Foderingham, with 51.7% of all shots calling the ‘keeper into action.

SCORED 1-15 16-30 31-45 45+ 46-60 61-75 76-90 90+
Orient (as hosts) 1  2 3 0 1 5 4 0
STFC (away) 2  4 5 0 2 2 2 0

Swindon are strongest during the opening 45 minutes, while Orient are really dangerous in attacking in the final 30 minutes. Orient have only scored in the opening 30 minutes as hosts once in 11 games.

Perhaps this is a real opportunity for Town to grab the early goal, but be warned for an Orient comeback.

CONCEDED 1-15 16-30 31-45 45+ 46-60 61-75 76-90 90+
Orient (as hosts) 2 2 2 0 3 3 3 0
STFC (away) 3 4 2 0 0 1 0 1

Orient have conceded in the final 15 minutes in three of their previous four games as hosts.

My prediction… 

Our recent results at Brisbane Road have been poor, very poor, however I can just see Town taking a first half lead and having enough to hold on for the three points – 1-0 to Swindon.

Come on You Reds!

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