Match Preview: Oldham Athletic vs Swindon Town

Form Guide… 

8th placed Swindon are winless in 3 games since a 4-1 victory over Yeovil. In those 3 matches against Brentford, Notts County and Doncaster Rovers, Town have scored once and conceded 3. Swindon’s 6 match League One form table reads won 2, drawn 2 and 2 defeats. Town remain strongest on their travels with 4 wins and 2 defeats in 6 away games. The most common away result is a 1-0 victory (20%).

16th placed Oldham Athletic beat Colchester last weekend 2-0 at the Weston Homes Community Stadium to continue an upsurge in form with 4 wins in 5 matches in all competitions. At Boundary Park, Oldham won their previous League One game 1-0 versus Shrewsbury Town to give a home form guide of 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. The Lactic’s most common result as hosts is a 0-1 defeat (30%).

Swindon-Town-FC.co.uk Head-to-Head…

In all League, FA Cup and Football League competitions, Town have faced Oldham Athletic on 45 occasions, winning 17, drawing 11 and suffering 17 defeats, scoring 70 goals and conceding 65.

At Boundary Park, Town have 4 wins, 8 draws and 9 defeats, with 27 scored and 39 conceded.

Swindon are without a win at Boundary Park in 5 attempts, however 4 of those results ended in draws. That last win being a 2-1 victory in League One on February 2005 with goals from Sam Parkin and Grant Smith.

The last two results between the two sides have ended in 0-2 defeats for Swindon.

Oldham have scored twice in each of the past 4 matches.

The Stats…

Defence Attack
  Oldham (Hosts) r STFC (Away) r   Oldham (Hosts) r  STFC  (Away) r
Shots Against Per Game 9.3 9 7.4 1 Shots For Per Game 12.4 7 10.9 4
% Shots Against on Target 49.5% 12 48.7% 13 % Shots For on Target 48.4% 13 56.9% 3
% Save Rate 78.3% 7 72.2% 18 % Strike Rate 8.9% 21 12.8% 13
Corners Against Per Game 4.2 5 4.8 5 Corners Won Per Game 6.9 4 7.4 1
Possession Conceded 46% 3 46.2% 3 Possession Won 54% 3 53.8% 3
R = rank: The ranking shown for each measure indicates the efficiency of the sides against the rest of the division as either hosts or the away side | 1 equals the best and 24 is the worst | TheWashbag.com

The sides are relatively evenly matched in terms of the defensive record of percentage of shots against on target, corners against per game and limiting possession conceded to an average of 46% per game.

Swindon remain the most efficient away side in the division at restricting their opponents to the fewest shots per game, however Wes Foderingham has been beaten too many times despite having so little to do…

In attack, Town’s 10.9 shots per game (ranked 4th) isn’t matched by the quality of the finish, as a very average 12.8% of all shots have been scored. More on shooting efficiency next week…

SCORED 1-15 16-30 31-45 45+ 46-60 61-75 76-90 90+
Oldham (as hosts) 1  1 2 0 2 1 3 1
STFC (away) 2  3 4 0 2 2 1 0

Oldham have scored only once in the first half as hosts in their previous 4 games.

Oldham haven’t conceded in the opening 30 minutes at Boundary Park for 6 matches.

CONCEDED 1-15 16-30 31-45 45+ 46-60 61-75 76-90 90+
Oldham (as hosts) 1 0 2 0 2 0 4 1
STFC (away) 3 3 2 0 0 1 0 1

Swindon haven’t conceded in the opening 15 minutes of a League One away game for 7 matches. Town also haven’t conceded in the second half of an away match for 6 games.

My prediction… 

I got the last one right with a 1-1 prediction against Doncaster and I can see more of the same at Boundary Park – Oldham 1 Swindon 1

Come on You Reds!

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