Match Preview: Notts County vs Swindon Town

Form Guide… 

6th placed Swindon were defeated 0-1 by Brentford at the County Ground in midweek; making our six match form 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.

In away games, Town have won our previous 2 matches – 4-0 at Stevenage and 2-0 at Walsall – giving a form book of 5 wins and 1 defeat in six League One games – ranked 2nd strongest in the division.

8th placed Notts County drew 0-0 at Preston midweek which was their third successive draw in League One. Their overall form reads 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat, unbeaten in their past 4 games. At Meadow Lane are without a win in 5 games.

Swindon-Town-FC.co.uk Head-to-Head…

In all League, FA Cup and Football League competitions, Town have faced Notts County on 58 occasions, winning 25, drawing 11 and suffering 22 defeats, scoring 85 goals and conceding 76.

At Meadow Lane, Town have 6 wins, 6 draws and 16 defeats, with 22 scored and 45 conceded.

Swindon are without a win against County in 6 meetings, including 3 trips to Nottingham. The last victory was a 2-1 win in League One in January 2004 with goals from Brian Howard and Tommy Mooney.

County haven’t failed to score against Swindon in 7 matches.

Swindon have failed to score in 2 of those past 7 games.

The Stats…

Defence Attack
  Notts (Hosts) r STFC (Away) r   Notts (Hosts) r  STFC  (Away) r
Shots Against Per Game 11.1 15 7 1 Shots For Per Game 11.3 12 11.1 4
% Shots Against on Target 45% 9 44.4% 5 % Shots For on Target 50% 10 57% 3
% Save Rate 70.7% 14 67.9% 20 % Strike Rate 12.8% 8 14% 12
Corners Against Per Game 4.3 7 4.9 5 Corners Won Per Game 7 5 7.4 1
Possession Conceded 47.1% 7 45.7% 3 Possession Won 52.9% 7 54.3% 3
R = rank: The ranking shown for each measure indicates the efficiency of the sides against the rest of the division as either hosts or the away side | 1 equals the best and 24 is the worst | TheWashbag.com

With 11 points from their 9 home games, Notts County are presently 16th in the League One home table, which is somewhat below their home ranking of 4th most efficient in the division.

Swindon have the strongest overall ranking of any away side in the division. It is only Foderingham’s low ranked save rate and our mid-ranking strike rate which are outside of the top 5 rankings for each measure.

SCORED 1-15 16-30 31-45 45+ 46-60 61-75 76-90 90+
Notts (as hosts) 2  2 1 0 3 2 3 0
STFC (away) 2  3 4 0 2 2 1 0

Swindon have opened the scoring in our previous 4 away matches, with all 4 being scored in the opening 30 minutes.

CONCEDED 1-15 16-30 31-45 45+ 46-60 61-75 76-90 90+
Notts (as hosts) 0 1 1 0 2 4 3 1
STFC (away) 3 2 2 0 0 1 0 1

County have only conceded twice in the first half, then 10 after the break…

Swindon have two successive clean sheets away from the County Ground, however previously we’ve been susceptible to conceding early in away games.

My prediction… 

With County not finding the best form at Meadow Lane and our away form keeping us in and around the play-off positions, I’m predicting a 2-1 Swindon victory, with Town to score first and add a second after half time.

Come on You Reds!

Comment Here...

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s