Match Preview: Gillingham vs Swindon Town

Swindon will secure promotion by avoiding defeat at Gillingham, or if either Crawley or Torquay fail to win at AFC Wimbledon and Dagenham respectively.

Town can secure the League Two title this Saturday, but only with a victory and after Shrewsbury failing to pick up 3 points at Accrington.

A club record is available should Swindon win a 23rd clean sheet of the league campaign.

Form Guide… 

First placed Swindon are 5 points clear of Shrewsbury Town at the top of the table. Town’s current form guide reads four wins, one draw and one defeat in six outings.

Away from the County Ground, Town lost midweek 2-1 at Aldershot to make it three victories and three defeats in six matches.

9th placed Gillingham are 4 points outside the play-offs and realistically need to pick up 7 points to stand any chance of catching Oxford and Crewe.

The Gills potentially blew their chance to finish 7th by drawing their previous game 0-0 with Oxford, which made it 3 games without a victory and one draw, three draws and two defeats in six.

At Priestfield, Gillingham lost their previous game 1-2 to Dagenham so they’ve won three and lost three of their previous six.

Swindon-Town-FC.co.uk Head-to-Head…

In all competitions, Town have faced Gillingham on 134 occasions, winning 54, drawing 33 and defeated 47 times; scoring 211 and conceding 182.

At Gillingham, Swindon have just 8 victories, 20 draws and 38 defeats from 66 matches. In the Football League we’ve only 4 victories from 43 matches played.

Swindon haven’t won in Gillingham in four attempts. The last win being a 3-1 victory in December 1986 in Division Three.

What The Stats Say… 

The match sees Swindon, who are back up to the most efficient side in the division, face 5th ranked Gillingham, according to our latest rankings.

Here are how the teams perform in each of the five attacking and defensive measures, when assessed against the rest of the division…

Defence

Attack

 

Gills(Hosts)

r

  STFC   (Away)

r

 

Gills(Hosts)

r

  STFC    (Away)

r

Shots Against Per Game

10.1

14

8.4

1

Shots For Per Game

10.4

19

10

5

% Shots Against on Target

50%

14

53.1%

22

% Shots For on Target

56%

3

46.7%

20

% Save Rate

75.5%

14

77.7%

7

% Strike Rate

17.9%

2

11.9%

13

Corners Against Per Game

4.3

6

5

3

Corners Won Per Game

6.7

5

5.6

7

Possession Conceded

47.9%

8

48.1%

2

Possession Won

52.1%

8

51.9%

2

R = rank: The ranking shown for each measure indicates the efficiency of the sides against the rest of the division as either hosts or the away side | 1 equals the best and 24 is the worst | TheWashbag.com

Gillingham’s strength as host has to be their accuracy in front of goal which has seen them strike 56% of all shots on target (ranked 3rd) and an impressive 17.9% find the back of the net (ranked 2nd). If only they could replicate that attacking efficiency in defence and the Gills would’ve been certain promotion contenders…

SCORED

1-15

16-30

31-45

45+

46-60

61-75

76-90

90+

Gills (at home)

3

 3

2

2

10

7

8

4

STFC (away)

2

 6

5

0

5

3

3

1

Gills have scored a whopping 74% of their goals as hosts in the second half, including 10 straight after half time and 12 in the final 15 minutes plus time added on. They’ve scored the first goal between 46-60 minutes in 4 of their previous 6 home matches.

CONCEDED

1-15

16-30

31-45

45+

46-60

61-75

76-90

90+

Gills (at home)

3

1

6

0

7

3

4

2

STFC (away)

2

5

2

0

5

5

2

0

Gillingham have been most vulnerable to conceded either side of half time, as half of their 26 goals against as hosts have come between 31-60 minutes.

My prediction… 

To say Swindon haven’t had the best record at Priestfield is an understatement, so the history book suggests we’ll have a tough time finding a victory. From our point of view it all depends how the squad reacts to Di Canio’s justified post match rant after Aldershot…will they pull together on the pitch and resolve those defensive mistakes?

A draw will be enough for promotion and that is my prediction….1-1.

Come on You Reds!

The image is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 2.0 Generic license- Original uploader was ChrisTheDude at en.wikipedia

One comment

  • So, if the Shrews draw and we win we’re crowned as champions? I suppose that’s not an unimaginable scenario. It could be a great day out if it happens!

    Like

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