Match Preview: Barnet vs Swindon Town

Form Guide… 

First placed Swindon are currently on a run of three defeats in twenty-seven League Two matches. Town’s current form guide reads three wins, one draw and two defeats in six outings.

Away from the County Ground, Town have lost their previous two matches – at Oxford and Crewe – making it four victories and two defeats in six trips.

Swindon haven’t finished an away trip with a clean sheet in nine matches since scoring two without reply at Port Vale back on 5th November.

Barnet are in 22nd and 3 points ahead of Macclesfield in the last relegation place. In their previous six League Two outings Barnet are without a win in six matches, after winning once, drawing two and losing three.

At Underhill, Barnet are without a win in six games, with two draws and four defeats. Their last home victory was a 2-0 victory over Crewe back on 28th January.

Swindon-Town-FC.co.uk Head-to-Head…

Town have faced Barnet 7 times, with a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat.

At Underhill, Swindon have never won after picking up 2 draws and 1 defeat in three trips.

Town are unbeaten in normal time in five meetings between the two sides.

Earlier this season, Swindon thumped Barnet 4-0 at the County Ground thanks to Raffa De Vita, a Matt Ritchie double and Medhi Kerrouche.

Swindon-Town-FC.co.uk History book…

A relatively new league club, Barnet first won promotion from the Conference in 1991, then again in 2005 after losing their league status in 2001. Barnet visited the County Ground for the first time in 2006, taking an early lead before the Town came back in the second half, winning the game 2-1 with an injury time super strike from debutant Royce Brownlie.

What The Stats Say… 

The match sees Swindon, who remain the most efficient side in the division, face 14th ranked Barnet, according to our latest rankings.

Here are how the teams perform in each of the five attacking and defensive measures, when assessed against the rest of the division…

Defence

Attack

 

Barnet(Hosts)

r

  STFC    (Away)

r

 

Barnet(Hosts)

r

  STFC     (Away)

r

Shots Against Per Game

10.8

17

8.4

2

Shots For Per Game

10.7

14

10.5

7

% Shots Against on Target

46.6%

7

53%

23

% Shots For on Target

49.8%

15

47.6%

17

% Save Rate

68.6%

23

76.3%

9

% Strike Rate

11.3%

15

11.1%

16

Corners Against Per Game

4.3

6

5.1

3

Corners Won Per Game

6.2

9

5.9

5

Possession Conceded

47.7%

8

47.6%

1

Possession Won

52.3%

8

52.4%

1

R = rank: The ranking shown for each measure indicates the efficiency of the sides against the rest of the division as either hosts or the away side | TheWashbag.com

Barnet don’t give away much possession on average as hosts – ranked 8th best in the division – but while this translates into a relatively low 4.3 corners against per game, the Bees allow the 7th highest shots on their goal per game – 10.8. Whether Barnet will retain their 52.7% possession is unlikely seeing that they’ll face Swindon who have restricted opponents to the fewest average possession.

The one area of Swindon’s defence where we’ve struggled on our travels has been an ever increasing percentage of shots on target and testing Wes Foderingham. While Wes has been impressive between the posts the increasingly porous defence is giving our opponents too much space to get the shot away, hence we are without a clean sheet for nine away games.

SCORED

1-15

16-30

31-45

45+

46-60

61-75

76-90

90+

Barnet (at home)

2

 3

4

0

3

5

5

1

STFC (away)

1

 6

4

0

3

3

3

1

Town are stronger in front of goal between 16 and 45 minutes. Barnet build as the match progresses as hosts.

CONCEDED

1-15

16-30

31-45

45+

46-60

61-75

76-90

90+

Barnet (at home)

2

5

9

1

5

7

4

1

STFC (away)

1

5

2

0

4

5

2

0

Barnet are vulnerable in the lead up to half time then after another blip between 61-75 minutes are resilient in the later period.

Kickoff.co.uk Prediction…

Result: Swindon Win 68% | Barnet Win 10% | Draw 22%

Full time result: Swindon 1-0 18% | Swindon 2-0 16%| Swindon 0-0 10% | Swindon 3-0 10% | Swindon 0-1 6%

My prediction… 

A 1-0 victory to Swindon to send us 5 points top of League Two.

Come on You Reds!

2 comments

Comment Here...

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s