Match Preview: Swindon vs Dagenham & Redbridge

In a full round of mid-week League Two matches, Swindon Town entertain Dagenham & Redbridge at the County Ground; 7.45pm kick-off.

Form Guide… 

First placed Swindon are currently on a run of two defeats in twenty-two League Two matches. Town’s current form guide reads five wins and one defeat in six outings.

At the County Ground, Town are unbeaten since August, making it 14 games without tasting defeat and 38 points from a possible 42. Swindon have won their last eight games as hosts with only one goal conceded in ten games.

22nd placed Dagenham & Redbridge won their last game 1-0 over Bradford City, to make them unbeaten in three games, picking up 7 points from 9. Importantly this mini-rival has seen the Daggers move off the bottom and out of the relegation zone. The form guide reads three wins, one draw and two defeats in their previous six outings.

Away from Dagenham, the Daggers are on a run of one win, two draws and three defeats in six trips, scoring five and conceding nine.

The Daggers have secured just three clean sheets from 16 away visits this season.

Swindon-Town-FC.co.uk Head-to-Head…

Town have faced Dagenham & Redbridge 5 times, with a record of 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 6.

At the County Ground, Swindon have 1 draw and 1 defeat; scoring 2 and conceding 3.

In the meeting between the two sides back in August, Town fell to a narrow 0-1 defeat following a 70th minute Matt Arber penalty.

History book…

A hybrid of a number of different teams, the current Dagenham and Redbridge club was formed in 1992, after a merger of Dagenham FC with Redbridge Forest. Redbridge Forest were previously known as Leytonstone-Ilford – a merger of the two clubs Leytonstone and Ilford, which changed its name in 1989, shortly after absorbing another side, Walthamstow Avenue. Since then, both the Ilford and Walthamstow Avenue clubs have been reformed – and Ilford, who the Town met on five occasions before the War, have fought through the courts to reclaim the history of the old club (see Ilford).

Ilford excepted, of all the other clubs, the Town have met just one of them – after being drawn away to Dagenham in the 1983/84 FA Cup First Round. After drawing the first match 0-0 at Victoria Road, Swindon were expected to see off their non-league opponents in the replay. Instead though, despite a goal from Alan Mayes and Lou Macari playing in the Town’s midfield, the Daggers held the Robins to a 1-1 draw, then scored again in extra time to humiliate the majority of the 3,745 fans in attendance.

What The Stats Say… 

The match sees Swindon, who remain the most efficient side in the division, face 18th ranked Dagenham & Redbridge, according to our latest rankings.

Here are how the teams perform in each of the five attacking and defensive measures, when assessed against the rest of the division…

Defence

Attack

 

STFC(Hosts)

r

Daggers   (Away)

r

 

STFC(Hosts)

r

Daggers(Away)

r

Shots Against Per Game

5.9

1

10.8

10

Shots For Per Game

12.1

8

9.7

12

% Shots Against on Target

39%

3

53.2%

19

% Shots For on Target

48.7%

19

47.7%

19

% Save Rate

78.4%

8

71.7%

15

% Strike Rate

18.1%

3

7.7%

24

Corners Against Per Game

2.8

1

5.9

12

Corners Won Per Game

6.3

11

6.5

3

Possession Conceded

46.7%

3

51.8%

14

Possession Won

53.3%

3

48.2%

14

R = rank: The ranking shown for each measure indicates the efficiency of the sides against the rest of the division as either hosts or the away side | TheWashbag.com

Town can expect to gain a significant advantage over the Daggers in all defensive areas, with Swindon exceptionally consistent in reducing our opponent’s chances as hosts.

Their shot shy attack has the worst conversion rate of any strikeforce in the division, however the Oxford match proved vulnerabilities do exist in the Town backline, but will the Daggers be as clinical as our rivals in seizing on our mistakes.

So…there is nothing here to suggest the current experience of watching Town dominate play and creating plenty of chances will be any different tonight.

SCORED

1-15

16-30

31-45

45+

46-60

61-75

76-90

90+

STFC (at home)

3

 4

5

2

6

6

8

1

Daggers (away)

2

 4

0

1

1

2

1

1

Town have scored the vast majority of our goals as hosts in the second half and are increasingly dangerous in attack as the match progresses.

CONCEDED

1-15

16-30

31-45

45+

46-60

61-75

76-90

90+

STFC (at home)

1

1

2

0

0

2

2

0

Daggers (away)

1

4

5

1

6

1

8

0

With Town yet to concede more than two goals as hosts in any one period, Dagenham are more vulnerable to conceding either side of half time and in the final 15 minutes of open play.

Kickoff.co.uk Prediction…

Result: Swindon Win 87% | Dagenham Win 3% | Draw 10%

Full time result: Swindon 2-0 169% | Swindon 30-0 157%| Swindon 1-0 115% | Swindon 4-0 10% | Swindon 1-1 5%

My prediction… 

Putting the weekend defeat behind us is critical, as the players must continue to ensure our exceptional record at the County Ground continues.

Dagenham are themselves riding high on confidence and will undoubtedly arrive to play for a point in their fight to preserve their League status.

If we are really destined for automatic promotion, and hopefully the league title, we cannot afford to lose this game – particularly with Cheltenham set to arrive on Saturday.

The decent bet is a 2-0 victory for Swindon with the opening goal in the early second half.

Come on You Reds!

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