Match Preview: Shrewsbury Town vs Swindon Town
Form Guide…
5th placed Swindon are on a run of 3 League One games without defeat, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in six games. Away from the County Ground in the League, Town won 2-1 at Portsmouth last time out, which was our first victory on our travels in 6 attempts.
Shrewsbury are 16th with 9 points and drew 2-2 at Hartlepool at the weekend. STFC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 at The New Meadow in League One.
Shrewsbury’s comeback to win 2-1 in this meeting a year ago is the only time Paolo Di Canio’s Swindon have been defeated after scoring the first goal of the game. Town’s current record is 23 straight wins after opening the goalscoring as we analysed earlier this week – https://thewashbag.com/2012/09/25/scoring/
Swindon-Town-FC.co.uk Head-to-Head…
In all League, FA Cup and Football League competitions, Town have faced Shrewsbury on 54 occasions, winning 25, drawing 14 and defeated 15 times; scoring 81 and conceding 72.
At Gay Meadow /The New Meadow, Swindon have 10 wins, 7 draws and 9 defeats, scoring 36 and conceding 45.
Swindon’s defeat last season was our first in 5 meetings in Shrewsbury.
TheWashbag.com League One Rankings
|
Defence |
Attack |
||||||||
|
Shrews (Hosts) |
r |
STFC (Away) |
r |
|
Shrews (Hosts) |
r |
STFC (Away) |
r |
|
| Shots Against Per Game |
10 |
14 |
9.8 |
7 |
Shots For Per Game |
11 |
15 |
9.3 |
10 |
| % Shots Against on Target |
40% |
9 |
46% |
8 |
% Shots For on Target |
51.7% |
9 |
67.6% |
1 |
| % Save Rate |
81% |
8 |
61% |
21 |
% Strike Rate |
15.6% |
7 |
13.5% |
8 |
| Corners Against Per Game |
6.5 |
22 |
4.5 |
5 |
Corners Won Per Game |
7 |
5 |
7.5 |
1 |
| Possession Conceded |
47.8% |
11 |
48% |
4 |
Possession Won |
52.2% |
11 |
52% |
4 |
| R = rank: The ranking shown for each measure indicates the efficiency of the sides against the rest of the division as either hosts or the away side | 1 equals the best and 24 is the worst | TheWashbag.com | |||||||||
Town’s attack provides our most efficient area on our travels. Despite an average 9.3 shots per game, this is more than made up with a division high of 67.6% shots on target, reasonable 13.5% strike rate and plenty of opportunities from corners. Swindon’s weakness remains the save rate, however that was as a result of Preston’s accuracy.
Shrewsbury concede plenty of corners at home, which will need addressing considering the advantage Swindon have in that area. So a Red & White STFC goal from a corner looks the likely bet.
| SCORED |
1-15 |
16-30 |
31-45 |
45+ |
46-60 |
61-75 |
76-90 |
90+ |
| Shrews (as hosts) |
2 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| STFC (away) |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
With Shrewsbury scoring early as hosts could they seriously dent our hopes by scoring the first goal of the game? Swindon have a 66.7% chance of losing under Di Canio when going behind.
Swindon are dangerous either side of half time.
| CONCEDED |
1-15 |
16-30 |
31-45 |
45+ |
46-60 |
61-75 |
76-90 |
90+ |
| Shrews (as hosts) |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| STFC (away) |
3 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Swindon have conceded early in away games, whereas Shrewsbury have conceded early at home
My prediction…
An early Swindon goal sets us up for a victory, 2-1, and that headed goal from a corner…
Come on You Reds!
The Washbag 